Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 187.174808 222.109464 264.747635 321.631553 397.148407 4.964354e+02 6.413253e+02
2025-02-09 139.340298 178.864223 233.113641 316.385587 447.877489 6.618308e+02 1.074363e+03
2025-02-16 117.071250 158.009164 218.718069 321.557408 506.851188 8.676007e+02 1.779749e+03
2025-02-23 101.286015 141.652823 204.966956 320.552308 552.207635 1.080305e+03 2.837576e+03
2025-03-02 90.455623 130.246656 195.645169 323.021458 604.316645 1.353582e+03 4.770866e+03
2025-03-09 82.594039 121.977414 189.432929 328.805110 666.526784 1.723561e+03 8.853376e+03
2025-03-16 74.536836 112.066794 178.274702 321.137042 692.835713 2.021906e+03 1.532144e+04
2025-03-23 71.461512 110.117863 181.172836 344.309546 816.383225 2.914231e+03 5.351758e+04
2025-03-30 65.060205 101.441141 169.656808 331.169375 824.935965 3.304783e+03 1.280313e+05
2025-04-06 61.028490 96.559204 164.863626 333.071186 885.955032 4.190028e+03 1.055333e+06
2025-04-13 57.256416 91.719675 159.395911 331.847309 936.858633 5.224686e+03 NaN
2025-04-20 55.475756 90.408597 161.082808 350.204175 1081.479048 7.973667e+03 NaN
2025-04-27 55.172325 92.184192 170.419077 395.908764 1416.401478 1.840255e+04 NaN
2025-05-04 51.498388 86.905642 163.083959 389.510812 1487.550570 2.641983e+04 NaN
2025-05-11 49.002036 83.731858 160.142902 396.449423 1653.709559 4.901809e+04 NaN
2025-05-18 46.351114 79.957720 155.175738 395.103804 1771.696090 8.948559e+04 NaN
2025-05-25 44.195364 77.005091 151.786180 398.411664 1938.491202 2.194227e+05 NaN
2025-06-01 42.436463 74.721077 149.733651 406.171811 2167.881350 1.070509e+06 NaN
2025-06-08 40.101891 70.988774 143.463210 395.886892 2221.458858 4.760823e+06 NaN
2025-06-15 39.538990 71.066362 147.162639 427.056561 2798.725812 NaN NaN
2025-06-22 37.281828 67.192878 139.757325 409.348842 2764.524201 NaN NaN
2025-06-29 35.889796 65.157616 137.138633 411.906455 3025.059932 NaN NaN
2025-07-06 34.471023 62.952519 133.782756 410.260343 3238.162461 NaN NaN